The issue causing the violence in Iraq is for CONTROL. Political control and for control of the oil wealth. Reducing the violence for a time in Baghdad by this surge will not alter this basic objective. Both the Sunni’s and Shea want to control the future of Iraq.
We may see some reduction in attacks because of the increased military forces or because the factions want to lay low until U.S. Forces finally leave. However, what the Surge will not accomplish is to cause the factions to give up their desire to CONTROL the future of Iraq! That is the reason WHY this Surge in the END will FAIL! When the bulk of U.S. combat forces are removed, the battle for which faction controls Iraq will resume. We need to insure that fight for the control of Iraq remains within their borders and does not spill over into the surrounding counties.